{"id":1813,"date":"2021-11-10T10:00:00","date_gmt":"2021-11-10T15:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.deeds.com\/articles\/?p=1813"},"modified":"2024-04-25T23:19:23","modified_gmt":"2024-04-26T03:19:23","slug":"billions-in-delayed-mortgage-payments-is-this-sustainable","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.deeds.com\/articles\/billions-in-delayed-mortgage-payments-is-this-sustainable\/","title":{"rendered":"Billions in Delayed Mortgage Payments: Is This Sustainable?"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p><strong><em>Life After Forbearance<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\"><figure class=\"alignright size-full is-resized\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.deeds.com\/articles\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/11\/life-after-forebearance.jpg\" alt=\"A person in deep thought about delayed mortgage payments and a future after mortgage forbearance.\" class=\"wp-image-1814\" width=\"388\" height=\"395\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.deeds.com\/articles\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/11\/life-after-forebearance.jpg 775w, https:\/\/www.deeds.com\/articles\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/11\/life-after-forebearance-295x300.jpg 295w, https:\/\/www.deeds.com\/articles\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/11\/life-after-forebearance-768x782.jpg 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 388px) 100vw, 388px\" \/><\/figure><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p>Let\u2019s begin with the financial facts. As the festive season approaches, about a half a million more U.S. homeowners are coming out of their 18-month, pandemic-related mortgage forbearance periods.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>All told, about 15% of U.S. mortgage holders opted to put their payments on hold. Most are already out of their forbearance plans, but that doesn\u2019t mean they\u2019re out of the woods yet. Many exited forbearance without having made their past-due payments. They owe, on average, just over $14 <em>thousand<\/em> per homeowner. The Brookings Institution counts the current U.S. mortgage forbearance overhang in the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.brookings.edu\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/08\/3a_Covid-and-debt-relief_final_POST.pdf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">tens of billions<\/a> of dollars.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<!--more-->\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>Can the Lending Industry Meet the Challenge?<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Under the stimulus bill called the Coronavirus Aid, Relief, and Economic Security Act (CARES Act), mortgage holders, upon their own request, got access to a 180-day&nbsp;forbearance&nbsp;plan. Now that the time has wound down, mortgage services continue to work with borrowers. Options include deferring the past-due bills until the end of the mortgages, or modifying loans and reducing mortgage payments.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Updates For Borrowers Backed by Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>Unless the market crashes, Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae are \u201cwell-positioned to bear\u201d forbearance losses and can \u201ccontinue performing their role of providing liquidity, stability, and affordability to the mortgage market,\u201d according to the Federal Housing Finance Agency Office of Inspector General (November 3, 2021; see <a href=\"https:\/\/www.fhfaoig.gov\/sites\/default\/files\/OIG-2022-001.pdf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">PDF<\/a>). This message is reassuring news for mortgage companies and clients dealing with conventional loans.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Conventional lenders can\u2019t insist on a balloon payment to recover all the outstanding debt at once. They have to assist borrowers coming out of forbearance arrive at a workable repayment plan.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Borrowers should review the terms of Freddie Mac\u2019s and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.knowyouroptions.com\/options-to-stay-in-your-home\/overview\/modify-overview\/flex-modification\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Fannie Mae\u2019s Flex Modification<\/a>, or the&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/fmerr.org\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Freddie Mac Enhanced Relief Refinance<sup>SM<\/sup> Plan<\/a>. They can also review current options for leaving forbearance as explained at the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.consumerfinance.gov\/coronavirus\/mortgage-forbearance-ending-take-next-step\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Consumer Financial Protection Bureau<\/a> website, and call their own mortgage servicers to discuss the best way forward.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Updates on Government-Backed Loans<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>Homeowners with government-backed loans can face particularly stressful situations. As FHA and other government-backed loans have lower minimum credit scores and down payments, they can be helpful tools for first-time buyers, gig workers and the self-employed, and minority home buyers. These buyers have a heightened vulnerability to serious economic downturns.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>They do have <a href=\"https:\/\/www.jdsupra.com\/legalnews\/fha-provides-additional-covid-19-5752298\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">new forbearance options<\/a> if they\u2019ve recently been impacted by the virus or its newer variants. This is in addition to previous options (some no longer open) that enabled borrowers to:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\"><li>Seek agency-specific assistance such as the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.govinfo.gov\/content\/pkg\/FR-2021-05-28\/pdf\/2021-11373.pdf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Partial Claim<\/a> plan from the U.S. Department of Veterans\u2019 Affairs or other government agencies. The VA describes it as \u201ca temporary program to help veterans return to making normal loan payments on a VA-guaranteed loan\u201d once the household comes out of pandemic-related forbearance.<\/li><\/ul>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\"><li>Request loan modifications. This could mean getting an interest-free loan, deferring outstanding debt until the end of the mortgage, drawing out the mortgage term to lower the monthly payment obligation, or shaving up to&nbsp;25% off monthly payments.<\/li><\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>Many homeowners have come off forbearance in recent weeks, returned to a normal payment schedule, postponing the missed payments to the mortgage\u2019s end. A smaller number received loan modifications and others continue to work with their mortgage services to lay out their paths ahead.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Struggling borrowers may still request help, and must call their mortgage servicers to learn what type of arrangements are possible. For some borrowers, sorting it out won\u2019t be easy. Some who are <a href=\"https:\/\/www.reuters.com\/world\/us\/vulnerable-us-homeowners-face-uncertainty-mortgage-forbearance-ends-2021-10-15\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">coming out of forbearance<\/a> recount having called up their loan servicers only to be placed on hold for hours, or winding up with different loan servicers entirely. Reports also note a lack of clear information for borrowers on what option is actually within reach, and whether they are really approved for it.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>What Disparate Outcomes Mean for U.S. Homeownership<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Some borrowers will not be able to avoid foreclosure once forbearance ends. They might try to take advantage of the hot market to sell their homes, then rent or share housing while waiting for the market to cool before rejoining the ranks of owners.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>That cooling process could take a while. The financial data firm CoreLogic lowballs the expected <a href=\"https:\/\/www.corelogic.com\/intelligence\/u-s-home-price-insights\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">rise in property values in 2022<\/a>, predicting \u201chome prices will increase on a\u2026year-over-year basis by 1.9% from September 2021 to September 2022.\u201d But <a href=\"https:\/\/fortune.com\/2021\/10\/26\/housing-market-2022-forecast-fannie-mae\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Fannie Mae\u2019s new forecasts<\/a>&nbsp;have home prices rising nearly 8% in 2022. Other predictions are higher.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Some homeowners couldn\u2019t sell if they wanted to. They simply don\u2019t have enough equity in their homes to sell now, and they also can\u2019t afford to buy or rent anywhere else. They have to find ways to cope financially in their current homes, and try to lower their monthly mortgage burden. For older homeowners, this can mean passing mortgage debt to the next generation.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong><em>\u261b<\/em><\/strong><strong><em>&nbsp;When a mortgage borrower passes on, the heirs often take over the monthly payments. See more at: <\/em><\/strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.deeds.com\/articles\/what-happens-if-the-mortgage-on-your-home-outlives-you\/\"><strong><em>What Happens If the Mortgage on Your Home Outlives You<\/em><\/strong><\/a><strong><em>?<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The Consumer Financial Protection Bureau is acting in a watchdog role, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.reuters.com\/world\/us\/us-consumer-watchdog-finalizes-rule-restricting-mortgage-foreclosures-2021-06-28\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">working to make sure struggling borrowers<\/a> get the support they need at this time. Mortgage servicers are hiring people to tackle a rising workload, and streamlining the onboarding processes for the various assistance options. That said, foreclosures can resume, as long as the companies follow the rules.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>This is piling on the stress for many low-income and non-white borrowers. It\u2019s well known that these homeowners have been impacted by Covid-19 employment changes at a higher rate than white mortgage holders. But the disparity is more striking than we might think. The&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.philadelphiafed.org\/-\/media\/frbp\/assets\/working-papers\/2021\/wp21-09.pdf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia<\/a> is reporting that nearly a third more non-whites faced the inability to pay monthly mortgage loans during the time of lockdowns. And now, as the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.inquirer.com\/news\/federal-unemployment-ending-pa-nj-pandemic-assistance-payments-20210907.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">enhanced federal unemployment benefits<\/a> wind down, is a higher default rate coming?<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u261b&nbsp;<strong><em>Black borrowers have long paid more money for their home loans. Why?&nbsp;Learn more in our&nbsp;<\/em><\/strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.deeds.com\/articles\/update-black-homeownership-2021\/\"><strong><em>Update: Black Homeownership 2021<\/em><\/strong><\/a><strong><em>.<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>Managing the Hurt<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>As we publish this article in late 2021, some 1.5 million of all U.S. mortgage borrowers are behind on their mortgages by three months or more. If there weren\u2019t any forbearance, research suggests we\u2019d have a larger crisis, with about 2 million more mortgages winding up in default. Forbearance has been effective. Yet the havoc wreaked by a tiny virus has left many homeowners in precarious states of debt as 2021 draws to a close.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Homeowners are urged to contact their mortgage companies to learn about possible relief. But that doesn\u2019t mean the path ahead will be easy for the hardest-hit borrowers.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Supporting References<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-small-font-size\">Jonnelle Marte&nbsp;and&nbsp;Katanga Johnson for <em>Reuters<\/em>: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.reuters.com\/world\/us\/vulnerable-us-homeowners-face-uncertainty-mortgage-forbearance-ends-2021-10-15\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Vulnerable U.S. Homeowners Face Uncertainty as Mortgage Forbearance Ends<\/a> (Oct. 15, 2021; citing Black Knight\u2019s <em>Monitor<\/em> and Brookings Institution&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.brookings.edu\/bpea-articles\/government-and-private-household-debt-relief-during-covid-19\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">research<\/a>).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-small-font-size\">Susan Cherry <em>et al.<\/em> for the Brookings Institution: Government and Private Household Debt Relief during Covid-19 (<a href=\"https:\/\/www.brookings.edu\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/08\/3a_Covid-and-debt-relief_final_POST.pdf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">PDF<\/a> of PowerPoint presentation dated Aug. 2021).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-small-font-size\"><em>Deeds.com: <\/em><a href=\"https:\/\/www.deeds.com\/articles\/the-mortgage-moratorium-winds-down-really-this-time\/\">The Mortgage Moratorium Winds Down \u2014 Really, This Time<\/a> (Sep. 21, 2021).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-small-font-size\">FHFA Has Determined that the Enterprises Can Absorb the Full Cost of CARES Act Mortgage Forbearance Administrative Inquiry (<a href=\"https:\/\/www.fhfaoig.gov\/sites\/default\/files\/OIG-2022-001.pdf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">PDF<\/a>), OIG-2022-001 (Nov. 3, 2021).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-small-font-size\">Core Logic Economy Team: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.corelogic.com\/intelligence\/u-s-home-price-insights\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">U.S. Home Price Insights<\/a> (Nov. 2, 2021).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-small-font-size\">U.S. Consumer Financial Protection Bureau: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.consumerfinance.gov\/coronavirus\/mortgage-forbearance-ending-take-next-step\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Mortgage Forbearance Ending? Time to Take the Next Step<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-small-font-size\">Photo credits: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.pexels.com\/photo\/depressed-black-woman-sitting-in-room-6382664\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Liza Summer<\/a>, via Pexels.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Life After Forbearance Let\u2019s begin with the financial facts. As the festive season approaches, about a half a million more U.S. homeowners are coming out of their 18-month, pandemic-related mortgage forbearance periods. All told, about 15% of U.S. mortgage holders opted to put their payments on hold. Most are already out of their forbearance plans, [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-1813","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-general"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.4 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Billions in Delayed Mortgage Payments: Is This Sustainable? - Deeds.com<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"All told, about 15% of U.S. mortgage holders opted to put their payments on hold. 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