{"id":3839,"date":"2024-03-22T10:39:00","date_gmt":"2024-03-22T14:39:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.deeds.com\/articles\/?p=3839"},"modified":"2024-06-16T23:11:11","modified_gmt":"2024-06-17T03:11:11","slug":"its-election-year-how-will-this-affect-sellers-and-buyers","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.deeds.com\/articles\/its-election-year-how-will-this-affect-sellers-and-buyers\/","title":{"rendered":"It\u2019s Election Year. How Will This Affect Sellers and Buyers?"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image aligncenter size-full is-style-rounded is-style-rounded--1\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1476\" height=\"686\" src=\"https:\/\/www.deeds.com\/articles\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/its-an-election-year-affect-a-real-estate-buyers-and-sellers.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-3840\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.deeds.com\/articles\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/its-an-election-year-affect-a-real-estate-buyers-and-sellers.png 1476w, https:\/\/www.deeds.com\/articles\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/its-an-election-year-affect-a-real-estate-buyers-and-sellers-300x139.png 300w, https:\/\/www.deeds.com\/articles\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/its-an-election-year-affect-a-real-estate-buyers-and-sellers-1024x476.png 1024w, https:\/\/www.deeds.com\/articles\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/its-an-election-year-affect-a-real-estate-buyers-and-sellers-768x357.png 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1476px) 100vw, 1476px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>As we enter an election year the current administration points to how strong the economy is. But there\u2019s a disconnect between these regular public assurances and people\u2019s life experiences. So many are either locked into their current mortgages or just completely sidelined from the market.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>This is no joke: High mortgage rates. Wages lagging while housing prices soar. The whole environment where <a href=\"https:\/\/www.deeds.com\/articles\/homeownership-an-upper-class-thing-now\/\">homeownership is treated as a privilege<\/a> rather than a norm. Recently, Fortune highlighted a daunting challenge for prospective U.S. real estate buyers: to afford a home in today&#8217;s market, they need an annual income increase of almost $50,000 compared to their pre-pandemic earnings.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>So, will the runup to the election bring any opportunities to current owners and hopeful buyers?<\/p>\n\n\n\n<!--more-->\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Voters Don\u2019t Like Being Left Out of the Market. Housing Gets Votes.<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>This year, there\u2019s high stress and uncertainty over potential election outcomes. And some people will decide to hold off on big financial decisions until after the election results. After all, new leaders may modify tax rates, breaks, and credits.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The opposite of uncertainty is confidence. If people think the economy is basically in good shape, they are more likely to sell their homes and buy others, keeping the market fluid.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Confidence in the economy boosts all the reasons <em>not <\/em>to delay.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>If the right opportunity comes up, moving sooner rather than later has advantages. Once closing day is in the rear-view mirror, a new owner\u2019s equity-building starts. We all know what tax deductions and credits to expect, too.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>So, can we be confident? The country has managed to avoid a recession so far, but the housing market is hostile to many would-be buyers. A few weeks ago, Redfin ran a survey, asking about 3,000 owners and renters if real estate affordability will affect their voting style in the upcoming presidential election. Over half of the people surveyed said\u2026 Yep. The cost of housing impacts who they\u2019ll vote for. The housing market matters to officials running for every level of office \u2014 from the local to the Oval.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Perhaps it comes as no surprise that the White House is pressing Congress to greenlight <a href=\"https:\/\/www.deeds.com\/articles\/state-of-the-home-buyer-white-house-promotes-new-set-of-tax-credits\/\">tax credits<\/a> for first-time home buyers and people willing to part with their starter-style homes.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<pre class=\"wp-block-preformatted\"><em><strong>Take a closer look at why <\/strong><\/em><a href=\"https:\/\/www.deeds.com\/articles\/holding-low-interest-loans-many-homeowners-are-too-comfortable-to-move\/\"><strong><em>homeowners have hesitated to put their homes up for sale<\/em><\/strong><\/a><em><strong> for many months.<\/strong><\/em><\/pre>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Watch How Senators and Representatives Act on Housing. Consider Nevada\u2026<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image alignright size-full is-style-rounded is-style-rounded--2\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"331\" height=\"229\" src=\"https:\/\/www.deeds.com\/articles\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/watch-how-senators-and-representative-act-on-housing.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-3841\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.deeds.com\/articles\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/watch-how-senators-and-representative-act-on-housing.png 331w, https:\/\/www.deeds.com\/articles\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/watch-how-senators-and-representative-act-on-housing-300x208.png 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 331px) 100vw, 331px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>One reason for the scarcity of affordable homes? Large, publicly listed companies and investors. They opportunistically took control of <a href=\"https:\/\/finance.yahoo.com\/news\/investors-bought-record-26-affordable-004444276.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">one in four low-priced homes<\/a> in the last quarter of 2023. This sucks out vital supply, and presses prices up.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Some state politicians are stepping in to deal with it. Take Nevada. When corporate investors descended on Nevada to buy up affordable homes, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.deeds.com\/articles\/legislate-corporate-landlords-out-of-town-nevada-might-just-try\/\">Nevada pressed back<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>In response to these challenges, U.S. Senator Jacky Rosen (D-Nev.) has proposed the Housing Oversight and Mitigating Exploitation (HOME) Act, aimed at tackling corporate price gouging in the housing market. The legislation seeks to:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Cap rent increases and combat housing inflation, providing relief not just in Nevada but nationwide.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Impose fines on institutional investors, with the proceeds going towards expanding affordable housing options.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Assign the Department of Housing and Urban Development (HUD) the task of curbing corporate-driven price inflations.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Prohibit the sale or rental of homes at exorbitant prices, especially during a housing crisis, ensuring fair access to housing for all.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>These measures are designed to make homeownership more attainable for Americans by addressing some of the root causes of the current housing affordability crisis.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Reno homes go for a median price of $500,000. Prices are up more than 20% since 2022! Rosen calls the city\u2019s market \u201cridiculous and unattainable.\u201d No wonder making a transition from renter to deed holder feels nearly impossible.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The <a href=\"https:\/\/www.whitehouse.gov\/briefing-room\/statements-releases\/2024\/03\/19\/fact-sheet-in-nevada-president-biden-to-double-down-on-plan-to-lower-housing-costs-and-increase-housing-supply-for-american-families\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">White House has responded<\/a> to Nevada\u2019s housing story. It\u2019s now \u201cdoubling down\u201d on its own support for ordinary buyers and renters, focusing particularly on the Las Vegas metro area. &nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Better Days Ahead? Don\u2019t Miss Chair Powell\u2019s Next Move.<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Now, if only interest rates were more forgiving! That would make more hopeful buyers eligible for a mortgage loan. OK, we have seen&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.deeds.com\/articles\/will-the-cost-of-borrowing-a-30-year-mortgage-ever-come-back-down-are-there-better-alternatives\/\">interest rates go back down<\/a>&nbsp;a little bit lately. But inflation remains sticky. So, the federal government has not cut the federal rate this month.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The Federal Reserve could cut lending rates for banks, indirectly enabling mortgage lenders to adjust their rates downward. While the Fed has to avoid mistakes that could tank the economy, it\u2019s expected to cut rates three times in 2024. Those rate cuts will allow for more borrowing and lending, and should bring hope to people sidelined from the market so far.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>No doubt, an election year puts political pressure on the Fed. But officials are committed to \u201c<a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnn.com\/2024\/03\/20\/economy\/what-to-expect-from-the-fed-meeting\/index.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">let the data speak<\/a>\u201d when adjusting bank lending rates. It doesn\u2019t matter who\u2019s who in the polls. Fed officials have vowed to cut interest rates when they\u2019re confidently in control of inflation. Watch what Federal Reserve chair Jerome Powell does this summer.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>It\u2019s a promising time for sidelined sellers and hopeful buyers. Still, lower mortgage rates in the second half of 2024 won\u2019t be a cure-all for this market. Low rates don\u2019t fix a housing shortage.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>But wait! There\u2019s more information incoming. The fees for listing homes look like they\u2019re about to take a dramatic drop\u2026<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">A Wild Card Just Appeared, Marking the End of the 6% Broker Commission.<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>In a dramatic turn of events this month, the National Association of REALTORS\u00ae (NAR) hammered out a <a href=\"https:\/\/www.deeds.com\/articles\/legal-update-nars-ready-to-settle-its-lawsuit-heres-what-home-sellers-and-buyers-stand-to-gain\/\">court settlement<\/a>. Once it\u2019s court-approved, it will end the practice of etching commissions for brokers into home listings.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>NAR, whose affiliated agents handle some 90% of residential deed transactions, is now willing to:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>End the practice of including agent compensation in listings on the multiple listing services.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Stop forcing agents to subscribe to (and pay to belong to) multiple listing services.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Start having buyers\u2019 agents enter direct contracts with their buyers. &nbsp;<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>This bombshell agreement will \u201c<a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnn.com\/2024\/03\/15\/economy\/nar-realtor-commissions-settlement\/index.html#:~:text=Another%20new%20rule%20will%20require,driven%20housing%20prices%20artificially%20higher.\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">destroy the current homebuying and selling business model<\/a>.\u201d Here\u2019s how:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Purchase agreements will no longer be inflated by the standard (and soon to be gone) 6% agent fees.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>The market will welcome more offerings of for-sale-by-owner homes, and homes with lower agent fees.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Alternative fee agreements will become normal \u2014 arrangements like per-service (<em>\u00e0 la carte<\/em>) pricing from buyers\u2019 agents; flat fees; and low-fee brokerages.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>Overall, broker commissions are poised to drop substantially \u2014 25% to 50%. A major power boost for ordinary sellers and buyers is coming into view.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>All things considered, 2024 is an election year, plus a whole lot more. What an intriguing and promising year for the world of deed transactions! We\u2019ll keep our readers posted.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Supporting References<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-small-font-size\">Eric Marks for <em>This Is Reno<\/em>: <a href=\"https:\/\/thisisreno.com\/2024\/02\/u-s-senator-rosen-targets-corporate-landlords\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">U.S. Senator Rosen Targets Corporate Landlords<\/a> (Feb. 25, 2024; citing statistics from <em>Realtor.com <\/em>and the Nevada Housing Coalition).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-small-font-size\">Alena Botros for <em>Fortune.com<\/em> via <em>Yahoo Finance<\/em>: <a href=\"https:\/\/finance.yahoo.com\/news\/welcome-housing-election-americans-trapped-172049691.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Welcome to the Housing Election \u2013 Americans Are Trapped in Their Houses or Outside the Market Looking In, and It\u2019s Focusing Their Thinking for November<\/a> (Mar. 11, 2024).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-small-font-size\">Bryan Mena for <em>CNN.com<\/em>: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnn.com\/2024\/03\/17\/economy\/stocks-week-ahead-fed-presidential-election-interest-rate-cut\/index.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Presidential Election or Not, the Fed Will Cut Interest Rates in the Fall If It Must, Economists Say<\/a> (March 17, 2024; in CNN Business Before the Bell newsletter; citing market analysis from TD Cowen Insights).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-small-font-size\">Tobias Burns for <em>The Hill <\/em>via <em>Yahoo News<\/em>: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.yahoo.com\/news\/investors-bought-record-share-low-164824268.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Investors Bought Record Share of Low-Priced Housing in Fourth Quarter \u2013 Report<\/a> (Feb. 14, 2024).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-small-font-size\">And as linked.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading has-small-font-size\"><strong>More on topics: <\/strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.deeds.com\/articles\/inflation-and-the-rising-cost-of-building-a-house\/\">Inflation and real estate<\/a><strong>, <\/strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.deeds.com\/articles\/house-hacking-its-one-way-to-buy-but-know-the-risks\/\">House hacking<\/a><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-small-font-size\">Photo credits (both): <a href=\"https:\/\/www.pexels.com\/photo\/red-check-mark-on-box-in-close-up-view-8850709\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Tara Winstead<\/a>, via Pexels.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>As we enter an election year the current administration points to how strong the economy is. But there\u2019s a disconnect between these regular public assurances and people\u2019s life experiences. So many are either locked into their current mortgages or just completely sidelined from the market. This is no joke: High mortgage rates. Wages lagging while [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":3840,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[131],"tags":[536,1145,1143,411,410,329,140,179,1144],"class_list":["post-3839","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-real-estate","tag-affordable-housing","tag-broker-commissions","tag-election-year","tag-home-buyers","tag-home-sellers","tag-housing-market","tag-mortgage-rates","tag-real-estate","tag-real-estate-policy"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.5 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>It\u2019s Election Year. 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