{"id":3860,"date":"2024-04-01T23:17:50","date_gmt":"2024-04-02T03:17:50","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.deeds.com\/articles\/?p=3860"},"modified":"2024-06-16T22:53:21","modified_gmt":"2024-06-17T02:53:21","slug":"a-silver-tide-of-boomers-will-pass-their-deeds-along-and-its-rolling","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.deeds.com\/articles\/a-silver-tide-of-boomers-will-pass-their-deeds-along-and-its-rolling\/","title":{"rendered":"A \u201cSilver Tide\u201d of Boomers Will Pass Their Deeds Along \u2014 And It\u2019s Rolling"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image aligncenter size-full is-style-rounded is-style-rounded--1\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1427\" height=\"676\" src=\"https:\/\/www.deeds.com\/articles\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/a-silver-tide-of-boomers-will-pass-their-deeds-along.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-3861\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.deeds.com\/articles\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/a-silver-tide-of-boomers-will-pass-their-deeds-along.png 1427w, https:\/\/www.deeds.com\/articles\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/a-silver-tide-of-boomers-will-pass-their-deeds-along-300x142.png 300w, https:\/\/www.deeds.com\/articles\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/a-silver-tide-of-boomers-will-pass-their-deeds-along-1024x485.png 1024w, https:\/\/www.deeds.com\/articles\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/a-silver-tide-of-boomers-will-pass-their-deeds-along-768x364.png 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1427px) 100vw, 1427px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Freddie Mac is planning for nine million baby boomers to let their homes go \u2014 gradually.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Freddie Mac\u2019s recent analysis predicts just 300,000 boomer-owned homes will be released to the market this year. Larger numbers will follow, though, increasing year by year. Freddie Mac\u2019s report shows the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.freddiemac.com\/research\/forecast\/20240226-us-economy-defied-expectations\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">silver tide<\/a> has begun to roll. Expect the baby boomers to convey deeds to more than 9 million homes between now and 2035, says Freddie.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<!--more-->\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">The Generations, on a Timeline<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Over the year 2027, Freddie Mac expects 600,000 home deeds to be conveyed by boomers. See the slope? The number of deed conveyances will keep rising, on that upward slope, by a few hundred thousand more each year. Once the bulk of boomers are in their late 70s, they will hold far fewer deeds, Freddie Mac projects. Based on past patterns, we know that as young adults get older, more become deed holders. At age 75, this starts to reverse, with fewer and fewer holding deeds every year.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">And there will be a total of 1.2 million deeds transferred by the baby boomer generation during the year 2035, when the older boomers approach their 90<sup>th<\/sup> birthdays. Between now and then, through the next full decade, Freddie Mac sees new generations picking up deeds as fast as boomers put them down.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Once into the 2030s, the market will be over its demand crunch. Supply will have increased. And as Freddie also points out, younger generations are getting smaller in numbers, so the housing shortage seems bound to taper off.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Readers might rightly point out that not all boomers will sell their homes into the real estate market. And in fact, 62% of the older adults told Freddie Mac\u2019s survey that they\u2019ll bequeath their homes, rather than put them on the market. Of course, quite a few such homes will return to the housing market \u2014 sold by the heirs.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Tsunami of Deed Transfers? Not Exactly, Says Freddie<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image alignright size-full is-style-rounded is-style-rounded--2\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"504\" height=\"336\" src=\"https:\/\/www.deeds.com\/articles\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/tsunami-of-deed-transfers.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-3862\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.deeds.com\/articles\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/tsunami-of-deed-transfers.png 504w, https:\/\/www.deeds.com\/articles\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/tsunami-of-deed-transfers-300x200.png 300w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 504px) 100vw, 504px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Some time ago, Meredith Whitney, a Wall Street analyst who accurately predicted the 2008 housing market crash, used the phrase \u201c<a href=\"https:\/\/finance.yahoo.com\/news\/home-prices-fall-silver-tsunami-050749678.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">silver tsunami<\/a>.\u201d The concept goes like this. Beginning in 2024, tens of millions of homes would start to return to the market, transferred by boomers to younger generations. The \u201ctsunami\u201d would be a storm of 69 million baby boomer deeds. That\u2019s huge \u2014 it means about four out of every ten deeds are held by baby boomers. As NeighborWorks America president Marietta Rodriguez has asked, &#8220;How can this generational shift not have drastic implications for housing?\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">But for those who are anxious to get on the ladder now, the supply crunch is still an obstacle. A few key factors hold boomers in a resilient position among the ranks of homeowners:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>First, people who already own homes are <a href=\"https:\/\/www.deeds.com\/articles\/holding-low-interest-loans-many-homeowners-are-too-comfortable-to-move\/\">holding onto their deeds for longer<\/a>. (Interest rates going down could speed up their decisions to return their homes to the market and downsize.)<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Meanwhile, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnn.com\/2024\/03\/26\/economy\/us-home-prices-january-case-shiller\/index.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">home prices<\/a> keep\u2026 on\u2026 rising. This makes financial moves more difficult for owners and hopeful buyers alike.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Some boomers will age out of the market, yet leave their homes empty for extended periods. About 9% of U.S. homes have been left vacant, some of which are <a href=\"https:\/\/seniorsbluebook.com\/articles\/what-not-to-do-with-a-vacant-house-\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">owned by seniors<\/a>.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Some boomers might move to retirement settings, but those who downsize will seek compact homes much like younger buyers do. This keeps the market for affordable homes heated and competitive.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>And the average baby boomer is actually just 67 years old. (In 2024, the youngest boomers turn 60.)<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">So, for the time being, we\u2019re not seeing enough homes for people who need them. Whether you expect a tide or tsunami, there\u2019s no quick fix for the housing crisis that currently grips the country. Freddie\u2019s analysts say it\u2019ll be a decade-plus before boomers fully embrace the downsizing mode.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Selling? Building? Prices? Freddie Mac\u2019s Key Predictions<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">In its latest monthly outlook piece, Freddie Mac also offers a few interesting comments and predictions about the U.S. housing and mortgage market:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Last year (2023), 4.8 million households sold their homes. Existing (not new construction) homes made up the bulk: 4.1 million sales. That was barely a trickle into the market. Deeds haven\u2019t been clutched so hard at any time in the past 30 years! &nbsp;<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Builders are working on a large number of homes at this time. They\u2019re especially focused on producing multi-unit properties.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Because demand is still outpacing supply, Freddie Mac says price tags will keep swelling, regardless of <a href=\"https:\/\/www.deeds.com\/articles\/buying-a-home-while-interest-rates-are-still-high-the-case-for-yes\/\">high-interest mortgages<\/a>: \u201cWe forecast home prices to increase 2.6% in 2024 and 2.1% in 2025.\u201d<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">On the bright side, there\u2019s certainly no housing crash in Freddie Mac\u2019s picture of the foreseeable future.&nbsp;&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Beat the Crowd? Takeaways for Market Watchers<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">There are a lot of deed holders aged 60+. What they do with their deeds in the coming years will naturally change supply-and-demand dynamics. And what will they do? Steadily relay nine million deeds to their juniors.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">And so, for all generations, big deed decisions are coming. Perhaps, as <a href=\"https:\/\/www.wsj.com\/economy\/housing\/baby-boomer-home-ownership-3ef78dfa\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><em>The Wall Street Journal<\/em><\/a> puts it: \u201cThe trick is to beat the crowd.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Those could be key words for millennials and younger buyers. After all, the generations new to homeownership want compact, affordably priced homes. Boomers who downsize want some of those too. Clearly, competition in the market will take the better part of a decade to work itself out. Given all of these factors, those who can get active in the market now may be grateful later.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong><em>Note:<\/em><\/strong> <em>Deeds.com<\/em> is not a financial adviser and this article is not intended as financial advice. Each person\u2019s situation is different; so, for case-specific questions, consult a professional.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Supporting References<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-small-font-size wp-block-paragraph\">Sam Khater <em>et al<\/em>., Freddie Mac\u00ae Economic &amp; Housing Research group via <em>FreddieMac.com<\/em>: U.S. Economic, Housing and Mortgage Market Outlook \/ <a href=\"https:\/\/www.freddiemac.com\/research\/forecast\/20240226-us-economy-defied-expectations#:~:text=Using%20this%20method%2C%20the%20projected,2.7%20million%20households%20by%202028.\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Spotlight \u2013 Aging Boomers and the Impact on the Housing Market Over the Next Decade<\/a> (Feb. 26, 2024; citing data from the Urban Institute, the Federal Reserve, the American Community Survey, and other sources).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-small-font-size wp-block-paragraph\">Sam Khater <em>et al<\/em>., Freddie Mac\u00ae Economic &amp; Housing Research group via <em>FreddieMac.com<\/em>: U.S. Economic, Housing and Mortgage Market Outlook \/ <a href=\"https:\/\/www.freddiemac.com\/research\/forecast\/20240320-us-economy-remains-robust\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">U.S. Economy Remains Robust<\/a> (Mar. 20, 2024).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-small-font-size wp-block-paragraph\">Sydney Lake and Alena Botros for <em>Fortune.com <\/em>(as republished by <a href=\"https:\/\/finance.yahoo.com\/news\/9-million-homes-come-market-195321275.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><em>Yahoo Finance<\/em><\/a>): Nine Million Homes Will Come on the Market in the Next Decade as Baby Boomers Age \u2013 But the \u201cSilver Tsunami\u201d Will Be More of a \u201cTide,\u201d Freddie Mac Says (Feb. 29, 2024; internal citations omitted)<em>.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-small-font-size wp-block-paragraph\">Lance Lambert in Fast Company &amp; Inc (Mansueto Ventures, LLC) via <em>FastCompany.com<\/em>: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.fastcompany.com\/91047284\/housing-market-big-shift-9-million-boomers-sell-homes-by-2035\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">A Big Shift Awaits the Housing Market: Nine Million Boomers to Sell Their Homes by 2035<\/a> (Mar. 6, 2024; citing Nik Shah, CEO of Home.LLC).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-small-font-size wp-block-paragraph\">Justin Lahart for <em>The Wall Street Journal <\/em>(Dow Jones &amp; Company, Inc.) via <em>WSJ.com<\/em>: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.wsj.com\/economy\/housing\/baby-boomer-home-ownership-3ef78dfa\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Congrats, Your House Made You Rich. Now Sell It<\/a> (Nov. 16, 2023).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-small-font-size wp-block-paragraph\">NeighborWorks America via <em>PRNewswire<\/em>\u00ae: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.prnewswire.com\/news-releases\/survey-nearly-34-of-baby-boomers-use-no-homebuying-resources-302048196.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Survey \u2013 Nearly 3\/4 of Baby Boomers Use No Homebuying Resources<\/a> (Jan. 30, 2024).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-small-font-size wp-block-paragraph\">Kristina Zagame for <em>TodaysHomeowner.com<\/em>: <a href=\"https:\/\/todayshomeowner.com\/general\/guides\/highest-home-vacancy-rates\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">16 Million U.S. Homes Are Sitting Vacant, So Why Are Homes Still So Expensive<\/a>? (updated Oct. 10, 2023)<em>.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-small-font-size wp-block-paragraph\">And as linked.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading has-small-font-size\"><strong>More on topics: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.deeds.com\/articles\/a-new-generation-of-renovators-boomer-sellers-are-putting-younger-buyers-to-work\/\">A new generation of renovators<\/a>, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.deeds.com\/articles\/hispanics-will-be-the-majority-of-new-homeowners-by-2040-can-the-market-meet-their-needs\/\">Hispanics to be majority of new homeowners by 2040<\/a><\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-small-font-size wp-block-paragraph\">Photo credits: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.pexels.com\/photo\/man-and-woman-sitting-on-sofa-while-looking-at-a-tablet-computer-6787971\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Marcus Aurelius<\/a> and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.pexels.com\/photo\/a-person-in-white-sweater-holding-a-cellphone-with-message-6632997\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Cup of Couple<\/a>, via Pexels\/Canva.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Freddie Mac is planning for nine million baby boomers to let their homes go \u2014 gradually. Freddie Mac\u2019s recent analysis predicts just 300,000 boomer-owned homes will be released to the market this year. Larger numbers will follow, though, increasing year by year. Freddie Mac\u2019s report shows the silver tide has begun to roll. Expect the [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":3861,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_feature_clip_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[107],"tags":[1046,1167,1168,326,1048,1165,1166,607,1000,418],"class_list":["post-3860","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-elder","tag-baby-boomers","tag-deed-conveyance","tag-economic-outlook","tag-freddie-mac","tag-generational-shift","tag-home-transition","tag-housing-demand","tag-housing-supply","tag-market-predictions","tag-real-estate-market"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v28.0 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>A \u201cSilver Tide\u201d of Boomers Will Pass Their Deeds Along \u2014 And It\u2019s Rolling - Deeds.com<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"How the &#039;Silver Tide&#039; of baby boomers will reshape the housing market by passing down 9 million homes by 2035. 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