{"id":6965,"date":"2025-11-06T07:45:47","date_gmt":"2025-11-06T12:45:47","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.deeds.com\/articles\/?p=6965"},"modified":"2025-11-06T07:45:48","modified_gmt":"2025-11-06T12:45:48","slug":"the-debasement-trade-home-values-climb-but-is-the-dollar-value-real","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.deeds.com\/articles\/the-debasement-trade-home-values-climb-but-is-the-dollar-value-real\/","title":{"rendered":"\u201cThe Debasement Trade\u201d: Home Values Climb, But Is the Dollar Value Real?"},"content":{"rendered":"\n
\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

On Wall Street, they call it the debasement trade. Here\u2019s what the concept means. As the U.S. dollar loses value, some investors are moving their cash into things like gold and real estate. They\u2019re trading\u2026in favor of hard assets.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Homes are \u201chard assets\u201d, but are they actually holding their value? We all know the story about rising property values (and property taxes!) but how does home value appreciation<\/a> support the deed holder, day to day?<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Here, we briefly explore the debasement trade that financial pundits keep talking about, and what it means to the ordinary soul who\u2019s just hoping to keep up with inflation.  <\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n

A JPMorgan Analyst\u2019s Catchy Phrase<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Nikolaos Panigirtzoglou at JPMorgan published a note that mentioned \u201cthe debasement trade.\u201d It caught on. The \u201ctrade\u201d refers to the current trend in buying hard assets, as opposed to money funds, as hedges against snowballing government debt and inflation.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u201cDe-dollarization entails a significant reduction in the use of dollars\u201d in international trade, as J.P. Morgan stated the point a few months back, \u201cdecreasing national, institutional and corporate demand for the greenback.\u201d And there is, in fact, a visible trend, in Asia and other parts of the world, to depend less on the U.S. dollar.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

What\u2019s the matter? The current administration has a $2 trillion deficit and shows no sign of reducing it. Earlier this year, the Government Accountability Office projected that the U.S. debt could approach a figure near twice the size of our gross domestic product by 2050.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

What\u2019s the plan? What does the government do to deal with extraordinary levels of debt? When it decides to do so, the federal government can print money. But this is a vicious cycle. Issuing more money has the effect of diluting the worth of a current dollar. That, too, \u201cdebases\u201d U.S. currency.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

See what they did there? With the dollar devalued, a government can make payments on its debts with money that\u2019s worth less than it was when the debt was initiated.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

There\u2019s a political concern embedded in the debasement trade, too.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u201cThe shifting trade war, the U.S. government shutdown and the president\u2019s use of the Justice Department to target his domestic foes have underscored worries about political dysfunction and unpredictability,\u201d according to recent reporting \u2014 not in a progressive publication, but from Bloomberg News<\/em><\/a>. <\/em>And Wall Street listens to Bloomberg\u2019s financial news.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Nothing Is Certain\u2014But Death, Taxes, and Inflation<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Real estate is called a hedge against inflation. As inflation keeps rising, buyers who get a fixed-rate mortgage can avoid mortgage interest rate hikes, plus<\/em> stop having to pay rent to live in a home. In most cases, those rents go up.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

And yet there\u2019s another way to look at the half-filled glass. Inflation, including the rise in home values, is actually about our weakening buying power. Sure, the home we bought has a much higher dollar value than it had a decade ago when we first bought it. That\u2019s home appreciation, and every deed holder loves to see it.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

But here\u2019s the rub: If we go look for a new <\/em>place to live, it\u2019s going to cost us a fortune. Yes, our current home equity will give us a boost in the market, but the fact remains. A lot of people are stuck and can\u2019t sell because housing prices went up so high, and then mortgage rates went up, too. Taken together, these factors stress out both first-time buyers and current deed holders, as home prices have skyrocketed.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

More to the point, the value of our dollars has fallen. Your home didn\u2019t increase its intrinsic value by 20% or more<\/a> over the past few \u00a0years. Simply, people just have to spend that much more from their wallets to buy your home now.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

And although the value of a deed does appreciate over time, that value depends on the homeowner maintaining the home, paying insurance and property taxes, and other expenses such as closing costs and interest on a home loan. Granted, the interest can be subject to a tax break when the deed holder files an annual return.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

One Way to Beat Debasement: Earn Rental Income<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Of course, we can be owners and also pull in rent as income. This is why Warren Buffett has long considered real estate a \u201cproductive\u201d asset.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Renting out living space is not for everyone. A home is first and foremost a shelter, a space to live. But those who rent out a home, or part of a home, or even an accessory dwelling unit in the backyard, can generate income. In most areas, the deed holder is free to adjust the rent periodically to keep up with inflation.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

And this is the one way to hedge against the devaluation of the dollar. Hold productive assets which bring a cash flow, and adapt to the monetary reality. The dollars that make up rental income are less valuable, which is the reason for rents going up.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Rents will keep going up, unless capped, because real estate prices just will not settle down any time soon. Not without deliberate help from state governments<\/a>, for example. Normally, high loan rates put a damper on demand, but today, no such luck. According to industry figures, the nation could use somewhere near 5 million more homes to meet our population\u2019s needs. And that supply-demand ratio is keeping home prices high.  <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Does This Change What We Think About Acquiring a Deed?<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

The idea here is to explore a term that\u2019s in vogue among economists, related to real estate and other \u201chard assets.\u201d It\u2019s not to change anyone\u2019s mind about the importance of holding a deed \u2014 that concept remains intact!<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Still, it\u2019s meaningful to understand what a \u201chousing boom\u201d really is. Home prices may keep going up, but that corresponds to our drooping dollar power. As real estate price tags swell, the typical person is, in fact, losing the spending power to transfer one deed for another.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

We can\u2019t shield our money from this \u201cdebasement.\u201d But we can stop thinking inflation means growth. To quote Judge Judy: \u201cDon\u2019t pee on my leg and tell me it\u2019s raining.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n

That said, holding real estate matters. Because property values tend to rise with inflation, while income from employment simply isn\u2019t moving to match this rise. And therefore, ultimately, buying a home is helpful in providing financial safety<\/a> and generational wealth.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\n

Supporting References<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Ruth Carson, Naomi Tajitsu and Masaki Kondo: The Great Debasement Debate Is Rippling Across Global Markets (published by Bloomberg News<\/em> on Oct. 13, 2025; updated Oct. 14, 2025).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Arbitrage Trade<\/em>, via LinkedIn.com<\/em>:The Mirage of Growth \u2013 When Everything Rises Except Your Purchasing Power<\/a> (Oct. 24, 2025).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Phil Rosen for Opening Bell Daily<\/em>: The \u201cEverything Rally\u201d Is a Mirage Next to the Debasement Trade \u2013 Record Asset Prices Say More About a Weakening Currency Than Genuine Value Creation<\/a> (Oct. 6, 2025).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Natasha Kaneva, Head of Global Commodities Strategy for J.P. Morgan, via JPMorgan.com<\/em>: De-Dollarization \u2013 Is the U.S. Dollar Losing Its Dominance<\/a>? (Jul. 1, 2025).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Deeds.com<\/em>: Can Buying a Home Offset Inflation<\/a>? (Apr 25, 2022<\/a>).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

And as linked.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

More on topics: Is capital gains tax an issue?<\/a>, Unlocking home equity without selling<\/a><\/p>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

On Wall Street, they call it the debasement trade. Here\u2019s what the concept means. As the U.S. dollar loses value, some investors are moving their cash into things like gold and real estate. They\u2019re trading\u2026in favor of hard assets. Homes are \u201chard assets\u201d, but are they actually holding their value? We all know the story […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":6966,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[131],"tags":[2948,2949,2950,549,329,1164,140,483,2947,405],"class_list":["post-6965","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-real-estate","tag-debasement-trade","tag-dollar-devaluation","tag-hard-assets","tag-home-appreciation","tag-housing-market","tag-inflation","tag-mortgage-rates","tag-property-ownership","tag-real-estate-values","tag-rental-income"],"yoast_head":"\n\u201cThe Debasement Trade\u201d: Home Values Climb, But Is the Dollar Value Real? - Deeds.com<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Explore the \u201cdebasement trade\u201d \u2014 how inflation and a weakening dollar impact real estate values, home equity, and what rising prices really 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