{"id":7211,"date":"2026-02-05T12:23:53","date_gmt":"2026-02-05T17:23:53","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.deeds.com\/articles\/?p=7211"},"modified":"2026-02-05T12:23:54","modified_gmt":"2026-02-05T17:23:54","slug":"kevin-warsh-as-federal-reserve-chair-what-this-means-for-the-deed-market","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.deeds.com\/articles\/kevin-warsh-as-federal-reserve-chair-what-this-means-for-the-deed-market\/","title":{"rendered":"Kevin Warsh as Federal Reserve Chair: What This Means for the Deed Market"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image aligncenter size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1400\" height=\"835\" src=\"https:\/\/www.deeds.com\/articles\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/kevin-warsh-as-federal-reserve-chair.webp\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-7212\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.deeds.com\/articles\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/kevin-warsh-as-federal-reserve-chair.webp 1400w, https:\/\/www.deeds.com\/articles\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/kevin-warsh-as-federal-reserve-chair-300x179.webp 300w, https:\/\/www.deeds.com\/articles\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/kevin-warsh-as-federal-reserve-chair-1024x611.webp 1024w, https:\/\/www.deeds.com\/articles\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/02\/kevin-warsh-as-federal-reserve-chair-768x458.webp 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1400px) 100vw, 1400px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Donald Trump has decided: Kevin Warsh should take the key position on the Federal Reserve\u2019s governing board.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>It\u2019s no secret that Trump wants lower interest rates. Will Warsh deliver? And will this stimulate deed transfers in a market that\u2019s been <a href=\"https:\/\/www.deeds.com\/articles\/u-s-housing-affordability-politics-what-is-still-possible\/#:~:text=people%20struggling%20with%20our%20housing%20affordability%20challenge\">frustrating<\/a> hopeful sellers and buyers alike?<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Let\u2019s check into this now.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<!--more-->\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Warsh Was on the Board During the 2008 Housing Crash.<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Most news reports on the Warsh nomination say two things. Warsh is experienced, and Warsh is likely to deliver for Trump in the months leading up to the midterm elections of November 2026.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Given Warsh\u2019s previous experience on the Fed\u2019s board, Warsh is likely to be confirmed by Congress. That said, not all Congressmembers are keen to vote Warsh into the post. Warsh had a position with the Fed when mortgages collapsed and banks got bailouts. He was seen as a key player in that saga.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>But after the crisis, Warsh expressed critical views of some of the Fed\u2019s actions\u2014mainly the money printing.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Fast-forward to 2025. Why is Warsh the Trump pick? For one thing, Warsh has recently expressed the opinion that the Fed should lean into cutting the federal funds rate. That will make money easier to borrow, and Trump\u2019s a fan. For another thing, Warsh is an insider whose familiar face will presumably calm financial institutions. There are other things, too. As recently noted in <em>The Wall Street Journal:<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>It didn\u2019t hurt that his father-in-law, Est\u00e9e Lauder heir Ronald Lauder, is a major Republican donor and longtime Trump acquaintance.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>In any case, midterm election time is drawing near. The White House is projecting an interest in the housing market and how it looks to the typical frustrated voter. Lowering interest rates seems to be the administration\u2019s answer to economic jitters of all kinds.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Expect Warsh to Press for a Change in Money Policy\u2014But to What Effect?<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Our current Fed chair, Jerome Powell, is due to step out of the chair post in May. Warsh will then step into the lead position. And he\u2019s expected to call for a changed course.&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Warsh suggests that the Fed\u2019s current approach misunderstands the economy. Warsh also thinks it\u2019s possible to cut interest rates without fanning the flames of inflation. He believes inflation results from too much government spending and too much money printing.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Put the money printing on pause, Warsh says, and \u201cyou have created space to lower interest rates.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>And that\u2019s the key difference between Jerome Powell and Kevin Warsh.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Powell has seemed comfortable with money printing to buy U.S. treasury bills for the purpose of preventing a full-blown crisis in the markets.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>In contrast, Warsh believes money-printing creates a sphere of continual inflation. Warsh would prefer to wait for a crisis to happen before starting up the money printer to solve it.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>Here\u2019s the rub. Either way, we get the devaluation of the dollar. It\u2019s mainly a difference in timing. So, we can expect inflation to continue. Home prices may fluctuate some, but the general direction will be upward.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Can the Fed at Least Get Mortgage Rates Down to an Attractive Level?<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Warsh has talked about the value of getting mortgage rates down. When the Fed lowers the interest rates for banks, indirect effects ripple out to mortgage rates\u2014or at least that effect is generally expected.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Back when Warsh was at the Fed, he was an interest-rate \u201chawk&#8221; who did not like rate cuts. But these days, Warsh has spoken up for cutting rates substantially. The case for cutting more? Doing so would fend off a housing recession, and help first-time buyers <a href=\"https:\/\/www.deeds.com\/forms\/\">get deeds<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>But there\u2019s no guarantee that lower bank interest rates will result in lower mortgage rates.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Sometimes rate cuts backfire. Cutting rates during times of elevated inflation can increase U.S. bond yields. In that situation, mortgage interest rates will tend to rise with the Treasury yields. As an economist with the National Association of REALTORS\u00ae, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.realtor.com\/research\/kevin-warsh-fed-nomination-mortgage-rates-housing\/\">Jake<\/a><a href=\"https:\/\/www.realtor.com\/research\/kevin-warsh-fed-nomination-mortgage-rates-housing\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"> <\/a><a href=\"https:\/\/www.realtor.com\/research\/kevin-warsh-fed-nomination-mortgage-rates-housing\/\">Krimmel<\/a>, comments on Fed policy: \u201cAn explicit focus on cutting its policy rate to lower longer-term rates could backfire.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>But lowering borrowing rates for banks is the method at the Fed\u2019s disposal. It\u2019s like the saying goes: If your only tool is a hammer, every problem can look like a nail.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>We have to hope for the best here, because the chances of real estate getting cheap by itself are slim to nil. And it\u2019s hard to understand what, if anything, the current White House would do to help struggling deed seekers. (No, a 50-year mortgage will not fix an affordability crisis. We break down the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.deeds.com\/articles\/breaking-down-the-debate-on-50-year-mortgages\/\">debate on 50-year mortgages here<\/a>).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Next Up: A Fed Policy Faceoff<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>In Kevin Warsh\u2019s view, the U.S. Federal Reserve can apply rate decisions to lower 30-year, fixed mortgage rates by a lot. In turn, according to Warsh, the Fed could really rev up the U.S. real estate market. Deed transfers will go gangbusters with Warsh as chair, you might think.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>At the same time, the current Fed chair, Jerome Powell, says creating affordability isn\u2019t that straightforward. It\u2019s mainly about supply and demand. And the Fed does not control that.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Powell will remain on the board after the end of his term as chair. Clearly, the board will have substantial differences of opinion. Kevin Warsh can\u2019t simply call the shots. If we were facing a full-blown financial breakdown, the Fed chair might understandably take strong control. That\u2019s not the case today. Something close to consensus among the entire board will be needed in reaching rate decisions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>But back to the question of reaching deeds. What actually could make homeownership more accessible to everyone? Converting existing buildings into housing, and zoning so deed holders can offer more units, are both good, space-efficient tactics. The Fed can\u2019t zone. As we\u2019ve previously said, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.deeds.com\/articles\/voters-tell-candidates-act-on-housing-affordability-now\/#:~:text=But%20zoning%20and%20rezoning%20neighborhoods%20are%20tasks%20that%20local%20government%20officials%20control\">rezoning neighborhoods is a task controlled by local governments<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\u201cWe\u2019re Gonna Keep Those Prices Up.\u201d<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>In January, Donald Trump dismissed the idea of actually making policy to ease real estate inflation and help hopeful home buyers. \u201cPeople that own their homes, we\u2019re going to keep them wealthy,\u201d <a href=\"https:\/\/www.usatoday.com\/story\/news\/politics\/2026\/01\/29\/trump-housing-prices-increase-affordability-economy-interest-mortgage-rates\/88418610007\/#:~:text=keep%20them%20wealthy%2C%22-,Trump%20said,-.%20%22We%27re%20going%20to\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Trump said<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>We\u2019re gonna keep those prices up. We\u2019re not gonna destroy the value of their homes so that somebody that didn\u2019t work very hard can buy a home.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>That seems to imply that owners of valuable homes worked to get into that position. And that the have-nots haven\u2019t worked hard.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>To quote the Gershwin brothers: It ain\u2019t necessarily so.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-group has-accent-5-background-color has-background has-small-font-size is-layout-flow wp-block-group-is-layout-flow\" style=\"padding-top:var(--wp--preset--spacing--30);padding-right:var(--wp--preset--spacing--30);padding-bottom:var(--wp--preset--spacing--30);padding-left:var(--wp--preset--spacing--30)\">\n<p><strong>Supporting References<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Nick Timiraos and Brian Schwartz for <em>The Wall Street Journal<\/em>: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.wsj.com\/politics\/policy\/how-warsh-won-fed-job-ff9d02bc\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">How Fed Pick Warsh Survived Trump\u2019s Ultimate Reality Show<\/a> (Jan. 30, 2026).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Claire Boston for <em>Yahoo Finance<\/em>: <a href=\"https:\/\/finance.yahoo.com\/news\/what-trumps-fed-chair-pick-kevin-warsh-could-mean-for-mortgage-rates-174445598.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">News \u2013 What Trump\u2019s Fed Chair Pick Kevin Warsh Could Mean for Mortgage Rates<\/a> (Jan. 31, 2026; citing a 2025 interview with Kevin Warsh on <em>Fox Business<\/em>).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Keith Griffith for <em>Realtor.com<\/em>: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.realtor.com\/news\/trends\/kevin-warsh-fed-chair-mortgage-rates\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Trump\u2019s Pick for Fed Chair Kevin Warsh Has an Unusual Plan to Lower Mortgage Rates<\/a> (Jan. 30, 2026).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Brian Kim, CPA for ClearValue Tax: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?v=cS9S5KituzU&amp;t=286s\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Stocks, Bitcoin, Gold \u2013 The New Fed Chair Changes Everything for 2026<\/a> (Feb. 3, 2026; including a video clip from the Hoover Institution).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>And as linked.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>More on topics: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.deeds.com\/articles\/can-buying-a-home-offset-inflation\/\">Acquiring a deed to offset inflation<\/a>, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.deeds.com\/articles\/if-the-fed-keeps-up-the-rate-cuts-more-seniors-will-open-helocs-in-2026\/\">Interest rate cuts and second mortgages<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Photo credit: <a href=\"https:\/\/picryl\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Picryl<\/a> \/ Wikimedia Commons (Public Domain).<\/p>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Donald Trump has decided: Kevin Warsh should take the key position on the Federal Reserve\u2019s governing board. It\u2019s no secret that Trump wants lower interest rates. Will Warsh deliver? And will this stimulate deed transfers in a market that\u2019s been frustrating hopeful sellers and buyers alike? Let\u2019s check into this now.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":7212,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[131],"tags":[1637,3289,530,329,1164,188,423,3287,140,3288,3290],"class_list":["post-7211","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-real-estate","tag-deed-transfers","tag-fed-policy","tag-federal-reserve","tag-housing-market","tag-inflation","tag-interest-rates","tag-jerome-powell","tag-kevin-warsh","tag-mortgage-rates","tag-real-estate-affordability","tag-trump-economy"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.5 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Kevin Warsh as Federal Reserve Chair: What This Means for the Deed Market - Deeds.com<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Kevin Warsh is poised to reshape Federal Reserve policy. 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