{"id":7718,"date":"2026-08-31T21:49:26","date_gmt":"2026-09-01T01:49:26","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.deeds.com\/articles\/?p=7718"},"modified":"2026-08-31T21:49:27","modified_gmt":"2026-09-01T01:49:27","slug":"trump-administration-intervenes-in-u-s-bond-market-how-will-this-impact-home-buyers","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.deeds.com\/articles\/trump-administration-intervenes-in-u-s-bond-market-how-will-this-impact-home-buyers\/","title":{"rendered":"Trump Administration Intervenes in U.S. Bond Market. How Will This Impact Home Buyers? \u00a0"},"content":{"rendered":"\n
\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

It seems that ever since COVID struck, inflation just won\u2019t let up. Interest rates on U.S. bonds (the \u201cyield\u201d you get from investing in a government bond) are also pressing higher.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

As long as yields on bonds climb upward, analysts say, borrowing costs will also stay high. This is especially likely for long-term, fixed-rate loans<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

In plain words: Don\u2019t expect mortgage interest rates to go lower any time soon.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n

How Did the Administration Intervene?<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

In the thick of the midterm election year, the administration is nervous about the economy. And it\u2019s nervous that investors are stepping back from funding our immense debt.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Bond investors are sensitive to risk factors. And we\u2019re seeing plenty of risk factors in play this year. Fuel costs are high due to trade blocks in the Middle East. Military spending is high, too. U.S. debt is sky-high, having passed the astonishing 40-trillion-dollar mark. Huge funding rounds for AI companies continue to divert massive amounts of cash.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

To make matters worse for the United States government, much of the $40 trillion in unpaid U.S. debt was issued at bargain-basement interest rates. Now that bond yields are rising, the debt\u2019s going to need refinancing at higher interest rates.  <\/p>\n\n\n\n

U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent has announced bond buybacks meant to lower rates and keep the cost of living in check. But will the buybacks actually have that effect?<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Treasury will double its buybacks to $4 billion\u2014for a start\u2014from September into November. If this latest move by the Trump administration succeeds in lowering bond yields, the federal government will not have to pay investors quite so much for holding the bonds. But this does nothing to address the underlying debt crisis. Bessent is essentially having the U.S. government buy back federal debt, then reissue the debt under modified terms. It\u2019s a move that JPMorgan\u2019s James Sullivan compares to \u201cpaying your mortgage with your credit card.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Why would the Treasury Secretary do this? Scotsman Guide quotes Chris Whalen, who chairs Whalen Global Advisors, as saying Scott Bessent \u201cpanicked.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n

So perhaps we shouldn\u2019t be surprised that the Treasury\u2019s move hasn\u2019t worked very well. Interest rates dropped momentarily\u2014and then climbed right back up.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Investors Get High Yields From Holding Bonds Now. Why Isn\u2019t That a Good Thing?<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Governments and ordinary investors buy U.S. bonds as a way to support the government\u2019s objectives, or simply because they have faith that putting their money into the United States is bound to offer safe returns. But this year, after a series of punishing tariffs (and threats of more) against other nations, foreign investments in bonds dropped off sharply. And that led to a rising trend in the yields U.S. bonds must pay to investors.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

In other words, when long-term bonds have high yields, this signals that people are staying away from U.S. government debt unless they\u2019re going to be paid a lot for holding it.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Why would they stay away? Because they\u2019re concerned about the erosion of the financial safety of U.S. bonds. Bond investors want to see clear indications that inflation is under control before they buy 10- to 30-year Treasury bonds, so that the yields from the bonds can move lower. When they avoid the bonds with the longest terms, it\u2019s often because they believe inflation will last well into the future.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The 10-year Treasury yield is above 4.7%. Before the war on Iran started, it was under 4%. The yield on the Treasury\u2019s 30-year bonds topped 5.3% in recent days. The last time it was this high was in 2007. (And most of us know what happened then\u2026)<\/p>\n\n\n\n

What Does This Mean for the Best Time to Buy a Home?<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Meanwhile, what do today\u2019s high bond yields mean for mortgage rates? As high bond yields keep interest rates up, mortgage lenders will keep their rates high, too. According to Lawrence Yun, chief economist for the National Association of REALTORS\u00ae (NAR), \u201chigher inflation and higher overall long-term borrowing costs will mean higher mortgage rates.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n

In short: Don\u2019t wait around for any meaningful drop in mortgage rates before you decide to buy a home. That drop is not going to happen in our current circumstances.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Of course, inflation affects much more than mortgages. The staggering federal debt is what the government should deal with head-on. Buying back bonds doesn\u2019t deal with it.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

So, we\u2019re on track to pay more to borrow money. This type of environment keeps costs high for just about everything.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

When everything (including a loan) costs a lot, the ordinary working person feels pressure from all sides. If you\u2019re feeling this way, it\u2019s not just you.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Is There Anything a Hopeful Buyer Can Do to Offset Today\u2019s High Rates?<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Current deed holders, use caution. Keep funds in reserve. Rising interest rates are financially dangerous for people whose savings are exhausted.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Perhaps the strain is already showing. While U.S. foreclosures are below pre-pandemic levels today, foreclosure filings are up 10% from a year ago. Nevada, South Carolina, Texas, Florida, and California are the hardest hit, with Illinois and Georgia close behind. Lenders repossessed 23% more homes this July than they did last July.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

What about buyers? They have already watched the average mortgage rate on a typical 30-year mortgage rise in 2026. NAR economist Lawrence Yun does have one suggestion. (Not financial advice, but interesting.) The hopeful buyer could consider shorter-term mortgage rates.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The seven-year adjustable-rate mortgage (ARM) locks in a fixed monthly payment for seven years. Then it adjusts to a new rate. If you think you\u2019ll move before getting to that seven-year mark, this could be worth some thought.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Waiting to Buy Is a Questionable Strategy<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

U.S. Treasury bonds have long been sought out as some of the safest assets in the world, so their current state is concerning. Clearly, the federal government is feeling the stress.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Treasury Department is buying back long-term bonds and paying for the move by releasing shorter-term debt instruments. What it\u2019s not doing is getting federal debt under control. Bond investors are quite aware of the growing risks. Unfortunately, questionable stewardship of the national debt is expected to hurt ordinary people, including those who would like to acquire deeds.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

But putting off home-buying plans because of today\u2019s economy is unlikely to pay off in tomorrow\u2019s economy. According to what\u2019s now being said by analysts, there may be no point in waiting for a meaningful drop in interest rates.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\n

Supporting References<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Megan Hunt, Media Contact for ATTOM (Attomdata.com<\/em>), via PR Newswire<\/em> from Cision US: Foreclosure Activity Remains Elevated From a Year Ago in July 2026<\/a> (Aug. 27, 2026; citing ATTOM\u2019s July 2026 U.S. Foreclosure Market Report, based on data from counties representing 99% of the U.S. population).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Ryan Kingsley for Scotsman Guide<\/em>: What Does Bessent\u2019s Treasury Buyback Plan Mean for Mortgage Rates<\/a>? (Aug. 19, 2026).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Jessica Dickler and Sarah Agostino for CNBC.com<\/em> (Versant Media): Bond Yields Are Climbing. Here\u2019s What That Means for Mortgages and Other Consumer Borrowing<\/a> (Aug. 18, 2026).  <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Becky Robertson for Moneywise.com<\/em> via Yahoo Finance<\/em>: JPMorgan Compares Bessent\u2019s $4B Bond Buyback to \u201cPaying Your Mortgage With Your Credit Card\u201d as U.S. Debt Hits $40T<\/a> (Aug. 25, 2026; quoting JPMorgan\u2019s James Sullivan on CNBC\u2019s \u201cSquawk Box\u201d).  <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Eduardo Porto on Substack.com<\/em>: Being There<\/a> \u2013 What Will the World Do Without Treasurys? (Aug. 25, 2026).                  <\/p>\n\n\n\n

And as linked.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

More on topics:<\/strong> New Federal Reserve chair \u2013 impacts on deeds<\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Public domain image of an artwork by Joseph Christian Leyendecker, via Picryl<\/a>.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

It seems that ever since COVID struck, inflation just won\u2019t let up. Interest rates on U.S. bonds (the \u201cyield\u201d you get from investing in a government bond) are also pressing higher. As long as yields on bonds climb upward, analysts say, borrowing costs will also stay high. This is especially likely for long-term, fixed-rate loans. 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